Trading Analysis

July 2, 2020

Golden Cross Forms in AUD/USD

A bullish golden cross (50-period SMA crossing above the 200-period SMA) has formed on the AUD/USD daily chart. The Aussie has been supported by upbeat Chinese and Australian data, while the US dollar lost some of its safe haven appeal amid positive US and European economic data.
July 2, 2020

Market Update – July 2

USDJPY completed its flat and reversed from the well-defined 108.00/08, carving a bearish outside day today. 108.00 is the 61.8% retrace of the February-March decline. 108.08 was high print a number of days in April and May. The fractal nature of markets is on display in the chart below. The pattern from 6/5 to today is the same shape as the pattern from 3/24 to 6/5. That’s a fractal! Finally, I like that Yen futures held 2020 VWAP and VWAP from the February low. Very short term focus is on 106.92 although significant downside potential exists in USDJPY as long as price is under today’s high.
July 1, 2020

British Pound Crosses – Median Line Application

Scand.Ex is pleased to present the next video with trading analysis by Jamie Saettele, our Chief Technical Analyst.
July 1, 2020

Market Update – July 1

USDOLLAR traded 12383 today, not quite reaching the proposed resistance zone. However, that may be the end of the counter trend bounce. Price reversed right at the upper parallel from a Schiff fork, the 200 period average on the 4 hour chart, and at a level that has been support and resistance since May 2019 (red line). As long as today’s high is in place, risk is lower in my opinion.
June 30, 2020

Market Update – June 30

Trading the last few days in indices and FX is best described as a summer lull. That said, SPX focus remains on 2888. Price has respected the short term median line and 25 line the last few days. Expect acceleration lower in the median line breaks. I have no opinion on whether or not the 25 line continues to act as resistance. If it does not then the upper parallel should be watched for resistance near 3120.
June 26, 2020

Market Update: June 26

I’m looking at short term wave counts today in USD indices and the 3 cleanest USD pairs from a short term perspective. USDOLLAR focus is still on 12418/28. A flat pattern unfolded from the 6/15 high. The rally from 6/23 is impulsive so focus is on buying support, probably in the 12289-12304 zone.
June 25, 2020

Market Update – June 25

SPX initial downside focus is 2888, which is 2 legs down from the June high and a well-defined horizontal level. Notice how price churned around the red line on this chart for most of June before turning sharply lower today.
June 24, 2020

Buying EURUSD and GBPUSD Dips

Scand.Ex is pleased to present the next video with trading analysis by Jamie Saettele, our Chief Technical Analyst.